ROAM News and Press, Hartford Multifactor Emerging Markets From 01/12/23

Summary In an economic downturn, higher-growth EM stocks that have derated and have strong and stable earnings could outperform, in our opinion. In China, we are cautiously positive on possible policy changes ahead and early signs of a roadmap out of zero-COVID. In India, we are con...

Summary After enduring one of the worst years on record across asset classes, investors should find more cause for optimism in 2023, even as the global economy faces challenges. Inflation is likely to moderate, and risks to the inflation outlook appear more balanced than they did severa...

Summary We are optimistic that emerging markets, in particular Chinese equities, can post positive returns in 2023. Consensus expectations point to two further increases in the US federal funds rate in 2023. As the investment environment evolves, an important feature that we seek in...

Summary Arguably one of the greatest frustrations for investors over the past year of rampant inflation was the dismal performance of real assets regarded as inflation hedges and their positive correlations to the returns of nominal assets, such as conventional government bonds. Even th...

Summary As expected, despite an overhang of risk from the pandemic, global banking sectors again avoided major crises in 2022. The combination of higher interest rates, tighter liquidity conditions, and risk aversion against a background of weaker global economic growth will slow credit...

Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...

Summary Global business activity fell for a fifth consecutive month in December, with the rate of decline moderating slightly amid improved supply conditions but still rounding off the worst quarter since 2009 barring lockdown months. At 48.2 in December, the Global PMI - compiled by S&...

Summary We expect COVID-19 to continue its transition to a global endemic and the status quo to prevail in Russia's war in Ukraine, with no material implications for the global economy. Mild recessions are forecast in the United States and Europe, but resilience in Asia Pacific will pre...

Summary Global equities closed out their worst year since the 2008 financial crisis as central banks launched increasingly aggressive efforts to bring rampant inflation under control. Much of the US’s underperformance versus its peers is an outgrowth of its much larger exposure t...

Summary We expect 2023 to be a year of transition, with gradual fading of price pressures allowing policymakers and market participants to take a more balanced approach to assessing growth and inflation dynamics. The near-term outlook calls for more of the same: high inflation and rate ...