RWM News and Press, ProShares Short Russell2000 From 07/31/23

2023-07-31 19:40:00 ET Summary The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily – and fairly rapidly – over the last year. The recession calls first started last year in April when the 10-year/2-year Treasury curve...

2023-07-29 02:40:00 ET Summary The latest round of U.S. data has been strong, the Fed has hiked rates again, and Fed analysts apparently have thrown in the towel on recession risks. If we start to look at developed countries starting in the mid-1990s - so a 30-year historical wind...

2023-07-26 13:08:00 ET Summary For those who pay attention to risk/reward dynamics, the prospective compensation for equity risk over Treasury bonds is today the lowest since the market peak in 2007-08. US Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator (LEI below in red since 1967) c...

2023-07-25 14:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...

2023-07-25 10:00:00 ET Summary As expected, the probability that a recession will start in the U.S. economy has breached the 80% threshold over the past six weeks. On July 2023 meeting, the Fed looks set to implement another quarter-point rate hike in the Federal Funds Rate. T...

2023-07-24 06:13:43 ET Summary The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with only one error made in the mid-1960s. Despite its strong track record, the yield cur...

2023-07-24 05:37:00 ET Summary Markets assume that a 25 bps rate increase at the FOMC’s meeting next Wednesday will wrap up the Fed’s tightening cycle. The S&P 500 increased 0.7% (up 18.1% y-t-d), and the Dow jumped 2.1% (up 6.3%). Federal Reserve Credit decl...

2023-07-23 09:15:00 ET Summary Despite resilient U.S. growth, the foundations have been laid for a short and shallow recession later this year. Notably, as a U.S. recession will likely be short and shallow, any equity pullback will likely be short and shallow. The following recove...

2023-07-22 05:13:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has tightened monetary policy significantly over the first half of this year, with a high likelihood of another 25-basis-point hike in the federal funds rate at the end of July. Until now, market agents have mostly ignored politic...

2023-07-19 09:02:00 ET Summary Although central banks slashed benchmark rates to zero by December 2008 and pumped unprecedented liquidity (QE), financial markets tanked until March 2009. The US Fed will likely pause its tightening efforts soon. But the economic cycle and stock mar...