SCHP News and Press, Schwab U.S. TIPs From 07/17/23

2023-07-17 07:35:00 ET Summary Is the Fed responsible for the drop in the inflation rate? If not, what does that imply about future policy and inflation? The 10-year/3-month Treasury spread has been inverted since last year, and that has been a reliable predictor of recession in t...

2023-07-12 11:30:00 ET Summary We have had a big surprise in the June consumer price inflation report with both headline and core (ex food and energy) rates rising. The Fed is focused on stamping out all inflation threats and is obsessed with services ex energy ex housing as they ...

2023-07-04 04:27:00 ET Summary A big change has occurred in the gold market since Russia invaded Ukraine and the West seized the euro- and dollar-denominated assets from Russia’s central bank. The US fiscal deficit in 2022 was $1.38 trillion, while the value of newly mined ...

2023-07-04 02:38:06 ET Summary SCHP had a bumpy ride since late 2021 due to rising inflation and interest rates; however, current levels suggest a potential bottom. High real rates, decreasing inflation, and inflation volatility are expected to support a rise in SCHP over the next...

2023-06-26 22:45:00 ET Summary The Bloomberg Municipal Bond Total Return Index (+0.33%) recorded its fourth straight weekly gain. Our fund-flows week kicked off on Thursday, June 15, with the weekly initial jobless claims data showing seasonally adjusted initial claims was 264,000...

2023-06-20 23:30:00 ET Summary Breakeven Inflation represents the market’s expectation of the average annual inflation rate over a specific period. Market participants and policy makers closely monitor breakeven inflation rates as they provide insights regarding future infl...

2023-06-19 23:39:25 ET Summary The Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF is a good buy due to the inverted bond yield curve and high yield on inflation-linked bonds. IVOL can benefit from yield curve steepening or declining real bond yields and offers a hedge ...

2023-06-05 13:20:00 ET Summary We see the market’s focus returning to higher-for-longer rates and sticky inflation after a U.S. debt ceiling deal. We prefer an up-in-quality portfolio. U.S. stocks hit 2023 highs after the debt ceiling deal. Yields rose amid the specter of r...

2023-05-30 11:35:00 ET Summary Inflation has proven sticky, even as growth weakens. Markets are realizing that policy rates are set to stay higher for longer. We like quality in stocks and bonds. Tech stocks surged further last week even as debt ceiling talks spurred bouts of vola...

2023-05-29 11:05:00 ET Summary I just refreshed my favourite U.S. breakeven inflation chart and was surprised by how placid pricing has been. Although the 10-year breakeven inflation rate scooted upwards after the pandemic, it is below where it was pre-Financial Crisis, and roughl...