SCHP News and Press, Schwab U.S. TIPs From 10/29/23

2023-10-29 12:45:00 ET Summary The big news this week—though widely anticipated—was the 4.9% annualized growth of the economy in the third quarter. By week's end, worries about Middle East tensions trumped growth fears, and inflation data showed that disinflation, no...

2023-10-20 04:30:00 ET Summary Rising inflation precedes recessions, and monetary policy actions are pro-cyclical rather than counter-cyclical. The combination of fiscal stimulus and monetary expansion has resulted in negative net national saving, which will impair economic growth...

2023-10-20 04:15:00 ET Summary The third quarter market performance started strong as companies reported stronger second quarter earnings due to subsiding input costs. The market took a breather in August and September resulting in small declines across many indices in the quarter...

2023-10-18 05:34:06 ET Summary Long-duration bonds have experienced the worst drawdown in history, and there were a lot of signs of this potential. TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) presents an interesting investment opportunity with positive real yields. The over...

2023-10-06 06:30:00 ET Summary The current deficit, as well as projections of colossal future deficits, has raised bond investor concerns about an abundance of forthcoming Treasury supply. Bond yields will likely come under downward pressure as recessionary markers become more con...

2023-10-03 22:16:00 ET Summary Risk premiums simply did not matter in a yield-scarce environment when the TINA (“there is no alternative”) narrative dominated markets. Since Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) were introduced in 1997, long-term real rates ...

2023-10-03 00:19:00 ET Summary The change in muni yields followed the increases in Treasury yields during the quarter, with greater increases in the front end of the yield curve. The Federal Reserve raised the short-term fed funds band to 5.25–5.50% at its July meeting. ...

2023-09-30 10:29:39 ET Summary The Treasury market is leading the equity market, with the long-term yield rising to its highest level in 16 years. The stock market is being influenced by the Treasury market, therefore, investors should pay more attention to bond market movements. ...

2023-09-25 23:40:50 ET Summary TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) yields have risen recently, with the 10-year coupon reaching 2.07%, the highest since 2009. Enormous Federal debt and history suggest inflation will remain sticky and higher than the Fed's target, but co...

2023-09-25 20:21:00 ET Summary Bond yields, which have been stagnant since peaking last October, finally broke above the trading range they’ve been in for all that time. Interest rates will peak at some point. When they do, it may or may not coincide with the onset of reces...