SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 09/30/23

2023-09-30 10:29:39 ET Summary The Treasury market is leading the equity market, with the long-term yield rising to its highest level in 16 years. The stock market is being influenced by the Treasury market, therefore, investors should pay more attention to bond market movements. ...

2023-09-30 04:15:00 ET Summary Rising rates have led to negative year-to-date returns for the US Aggregate benchmark index, but anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could support bond investors. The historically inverted yield curve may result in shorter maturities outperforming longe...

2023-09-29 21:20:00 ET Summary The Fed's favoured measure of inflation undershot expectations and has boosted the case for the Fed not hiking rates in the current quarter. Huge upward revisions to houshold savings suggests the consumer can remain more resilient than we thought lik...

2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...

2023-09-29 05:56:04 ET U.S. Treasury returns are on track for the worst month this year, as the bond market selloff continued after the Federal Reserve signaled that interest rates would remain higher for longer. The recent selloff has pushed the 30-year yield ( US30Y ) to its ...

2023-09-28 23:45:00 ET Summary There is still a "surplus" of M2 money, but it is shrinking every month. Higher interest rates have boosted the demand for money, in effect neutralizing the declining M2 surplus. Inflation is not driving interest rates higher - the Fed is. Real inter...

2023-09-28 13:30:00 ET Summary The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices. The interpretation requires looking at the pricing and the impact of individual issues in the S&P 500. Energy, commodity and industrial issues have been risi...

2023-09-28 11:17:00 ET Summary A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drive yields higher. Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to 4.61%, the highest since 2007. Fed funds futu...

2023-09-27 12:06:00 ET Summary The impending government shutdown will be economically disruptive and will restrict the flow of data the Fed will need to see to justify hiking interest rates further. Although the broader market fallout should be limited, a long shutdown would depre...

2023-09-27 02:05:00 ET Summary Following a hawkish pause, any better-than-expected US economic data could magnify the market’s fears of a higher fed funds rate in 2024. Lower-than-expected UK inflation led to a somewhat surprising pause by the Bank of England last week, fol...