SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 01/13/24

2024-01-13 02:50:00 ET Summary Permanent job losses have already accelerated in line with the onset of the past three recessions since 1995. Since 1969, the longest Fed pause time between the last rate hike and the first cut was 14 months (July 2006 to September 2007), and the ave...

2024-01-13 02:35:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has fueled market conviction that the good old days of extremely low interest rates and abundant liquidity are soon to return. This promises to be quite a challenging year for investors. I think macro uncertainty is especially hig...

2024-01-12 22:35:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve policy rates are set to fall in 2024. However, clear evidence that inflation has been tamed likely needs to emerge before cuts can commence, likely around mid-year. While a smooth landing is still far from certain, rate cuts accompani...

2024-01-12 01:30:00 ET Summary While recession continues to be a base case of 55%, the odds of a soft landing are getting better. As you near a cycle peak, the economy transitions quickly from strong job formation to outright losses. The Fed has the latitude to cut rates and, ...

2024-01-11 03:41:00 ET Summary Economic growth is now cooling as global monetary tightening gradually takes its toll. Most central bankers have now adopted a more dovish stance, and rate cuts are likely in 2024. Rate cuts failing to materialize may drive extended U.S. Treasury...

2024-01-10 02:35:00 ET Summary This is a hyper rate-sensitive environment given the aggressive tightening by many Western central banks. I’m optimistic that policymakers will remain vigilant in 2024 and quickly react to any issues that arise from their past tightening. ...

2024-01-09 13:25:00 ET Summary Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate red...

2024-01-08 22:35:00 ET Summary Many months ago it became abundantly clear that the Fed had extinguished the inflation fires that were stoked in 2020-21, and therefore lower interest rates were called for. More recently, we see that the economy has lost a lot of its forward momentu...

2024-01-08 21:34:00 ET Summary In the day-to-day, week-to-week movements of the markets, it is easy to forget that we are investing with a timeline measured in years, and for many investors, decades. Scientific advancements in recent years have been nothing short of amazing, but i...

2024-01-08 19:25:00 ET Summary The minutes of the FOMC December meeting were released on January 3, 2023, and were greeted by a slight market turndown. Markets had previously priced in the three rate cuts that the December SEPs (Summary of Economic Projections) suggested might be ...