SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 01/20/24

2024-01-20 21:06:00 ET Summary Our belief is that there will primarily be one call to get correct - one call to rule them all - and that is whether the US economy has a hard landing (recession) or a soft one. Every hard landing starts out as a soft landing, marked by the Fed's int...

2024-01-20 02:05:00 ET Summary The improving news on inflation is paving the way for monetary policy pivots over the coming months. Global consumer price inflation forecasts for 2024-25 have been slightly reduced. We have revised down our forecast of US core Personal Con...

2024-01-20 01:10:00 ET Summary So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond market took whatever the Fed said and doubled down. ...

2024-01-19 22:20:00 ET Summary Since 1992 the Chinese economy has grown from $500B to $18T. Yet the Chinese stock market has gone exactly nowhere over the same period. The headlines in financial markets for the coming weeks will be all about the new highs in US stocks. But is it a...

2024-01-19 10:30:00 ET Summary After a couple of years with multiple “Black Swans” driving erratic action in commodities, Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading expects 2024 to be a less volatile one. She believes crude oil and select soft commodities look attractive - an...

2024-01-19 08:45:00 ET Summary The US 10-year Treasury yield has been below the 3-month yield since November 2022. This rare yield inversion has preceded each recession since 1982, with no false signals. In past cycles, the US Fed stopped hiking when the yield curve inverted, ...

2024-01-19 01:55:00 ET Summary Is sticky inflation challenging the rate cut story? Outlook for fixed income. Why a March rate cut by the Fed is looking less likely. Markets appear to be taking a sober second look at when the U.S. Federal Reserve may be ready to sta...

2024-01-17 18:53:00 ET Summary Key questions facing investors in 2024. Why US markets may lag other markets this year. Why inflation is still the northern star for investors. Investors are facing numerous uncertainties in 2024, including the state of the economy and ...

2024-01-17 17:45:00 ET Summary The money and bond markets appear to be doubling down on their optimistic expectations for Fed rate cuts this year. During the first half of January, UST yields, such as for the 2- and 10-Year notes, have witnessed increases of roughly 15–20 b...

2024-01-17 11:12:00 ET Summary The jobs market is tight, inflation is above target, consumer spending is holding up and recent Fed commentary suggests they are in no hurry to loosen policy. As such, we continue to favour May as the start point for interest rate cuts rather than Ma...