SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 01/17/24

2024-01-17 11:12:00 ET Summary The jobs market is tight, inflation is above target, consumer spending is holding up and recent Fed commentary suggests they are in no hurry to loosen policy. As such, we continue to favour May as the start point for interest rate cuts rather than Ma...

2024-01-17 09:52:00 ET Summary Liquidity is the lifeblood of capital markets, and in recent years, a quenching supply has come from the Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Program. Repurchase agreements are essentially short-term loans that allow financial firms to borrow from e...

2024-01-17 00:31:00 ET Summary Market expectations for 2024. Is a March rate cut by the Fed too optimistic? Potential earnings headwinds for Canadian companies. Equity markets posted strong returns at the end of last year on expectations of potential rate cuts as e...

2024-01-15 21:13:00 ET Summary The highest-rated core government bonds are called “risk free” not because their prices don’t go up and down, sometimes wildly, and not because they are insensitive to shifting economic forces. The overwhelming probability is tha...

2024-01-15 20:07:00 ET Summary Underpinning the Fed’s policies will be the basic data on the economy regarding the risk of recession and the movement of inflation. Consumer Price Index rose just 3.4% over the past 12 months, down from a peak of 9.1% in mid-2022. Long-te...

2024-01-15 06:44:12 ET Summary Disconnect between Fed policy and risk asset prices will worsen from 2024. Growth of debt issuance has a significant impact on bond yields and stock market performance. Debt issuance is becoming a primary determinant of risk asset prices. There i...

2024-01-15 02:14:00 ET Summary Options trading boomed while hedging in-the-money call options provided a key source of marketplace liquidity generation. Yields jumped, CDS prices rose, spreads widened, and risk premiums generally increased. With no end in sight for the Ukraine...

2024-01-14 04:26:00 ET Summary The SEC finally approved a Bitcoin ETF. The Winklevoss twins filed for the initial Bitcoin ETF in July of 2013 so it’s been 10 years coming. Thursday’s CPI came in a little hotter than expected. And this got the usual suspects talking a...

2024-01-14 00:20:00 ET Summary Looking back at last year, the best investment decision would have been to ignore diversification. Throughout history, we’ve seen numerous instances where capital heavily concentrates on a single company or a small cluster of stocks. We ar...

2024-01-13 02:50:00 ET Summary Permanent job losses have already accelerated in line with the onset of the past three recessions since 1995. Since 1969, the longest Fed pause time between the last rate hike and the first cut was 14 months (July 2006 to September 2007), and the ave...