SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 01/30/24

2024-01-30 11:35:00 ET Summary The US 10-2-year Treasury yield spread has moved from a deep inversion at 108 bps last July to -14 bps as of January 25, 2024. Re-steepening of the yield curve has historically coincided with rising unemployment claims. For stocks, corporate debt...

2024-01-30 03:20:00 ET Summary In my opinion, the border and the US labor force are paramount political issues in 2024. The current longevity and depth of the yield curve inversion is not atypical of the inversions that have preceded all recessions in the post-war period. The ...

2024-01-30 00:39:04 ET Summary The article discusses the merits of investing in long-term bonds in 2024 and recommends alternatives to the iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF. The SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF is compared to other long-term treasury bond ETFs, highlight...

2024-01-29 17:35:00 ET Summary Nominal GDP expanded an annualized 4.8% quarter-to-quarter and 5.8% year-over-year. Real GDP grew by 3.3% quarter-to-quarter and 3.1% year-over-year. The price index for domestic purchases rose 1.9% versus 2.9% last quarter. Bond market volat...

2024-01-29 12:25:00 ET Summary We think stock momentum can run for now as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve readies to cut rates. So we up our overall U.S. stocks view to overweight. Tech stocks led the S&P 500 to consecutive record highs last week. Robust U.S. Q4 GDP gr...

2024-01-29 09:24:00 ET Summary The economy has gained a head of steam since the FOMC’s December 13th meeting. Additional stronger-than-expected data this week. Q4 GDP was reported at 3.3%, down from Q3’s blistering 4.9%, but significantly above the 2.0% consensus est...

2024-01-29 03:58:00 ET Summary It was a narrow stock market in 2023, in terms of annual returns, with the so-called “Mag 7” leading the way. It’s still an ordinary bull market for the Nasdaq 100, with more room to the upside. The credit markets today seem ...

2024-01-27 01:25:00 ET Summary Higher interest rates have had a significant (i.e., disinflationary) impact on important segments of the economy. Banks are still flush with liquidity. The Fed is not starving the system for liquidity as it did in prior tightening episodes. Durab...

2024-01-26 20:55:00 ET Summary The dovish shift in Fed forecasts in December – with three rate cuts pencilled in for 2024 – incentivised the market to push even more aggressively in pricing cuts. However, they appear to have gone too far too fast for the Fed’s...

2024-01-25 02:30:00 ET Summary While treasury rates, across maturities, jumped dramatically in 2022, their behavior diverged in 2023. The yield curve has been inverted for all of 2023, in all of its variations. If inflation continues its downward path, it is likely that we wil...