SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 04/27/24

2024-04-27 06:25:00 ET Summary The 10yr minus 3mo Treasury rate (Yield Curve) is moving higher at a rapid pace as investors adjust their inflation thinking to being more persistent in the 3-4% range. 88% of portfolio managers in the Bank of America Fund Managers Survey last week b...

2024-04-27 04:10:00 ET Summary Elevated inflation and strong activity and jobs numbers have pushed market expectations for the timing of the first interest rate cut to December. We still see an opportunity for a September rate cut. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve will re...

2024-04-24 12:30:00 ET Summary Last week brought hawkish remarks from a cast of Federal Open Market Committee members. I still believe a US rate cut in June and a total of three cuts for the year are very real possibilities, but markets need to see more data. Prices for West T...

2024-04-23 13:50:00 ET Summary The US economy powered ahead in the first quarter, as strong hiring activity and gradually waning inflationary pressures boosted consumer spending, keeping growth on solid footing. In our view, much of that strength will last, supported by changing d...

2024-04-23 09:00:00 ET Summary In its fight against inflation, the last thing that the Federal Reserve needs is an oil price shock that would result from the disruption of oil flowing through the Straits of Hormuz. High interest rates for longer are bound to deepen the commercial ...

2024-04-20 05:50:00 ET Summary Despite extraordinary monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, inflation remains elevated above its 2% target. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Interest rates suggest money is tight. The m...

2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...

2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...

2024-04-18 14:00:00 ET Summary Recent trends indicate a resurgence in bond implied volatility on a global basis, with U.S. interest rates leading the charge. Currently, U.S. rates are at their highest level of the year, and have returned to current-cycle highs of last year across ...

2024-04-18 06:00:00 ET Summary Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The Treasury market has been effectively making the same case for weeks, but when the top c...