SCHR News and Press, Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury From 04/04/24

2024-04-04 03:25:00 ET Summary Inflation pressures remain quite subdued; disinflation is still in place. The market continues to harbor a long-ingrained reflex that says that in order for inflation to decline, the economy needs to weaken. Low and declining inflation and modera...

2024-04-03 09:20:00 ET Summary Markets are still pricing in moderate odds that easing will start at the end of the second quarter, but the incoming data is providing more support for again pushing the date for a dovish policy pivot further down the road. The caveat is that the 2-y...

2024-04-03 08:30:00 ET Summary Market swings punctuated the first quarter as “central bank speak” proliferated and caused confusion. I put first quarter global markets into perspective and highlight some “little victories” that may have been easy to ove...

2024-04-03 03:20:00 ET Summary After a sharp decline in yield during Q4 2023, Treasury yields rose during Q1 2024. We experienced significant increases in 10- and 30-year Treasuries, as they rose 31 bps to 4.19% and 30.6 bps to 4.336%, respectively. Spreads on investment-grade...

2024-04-02 15:00:00 ET Summary The number of job vacancies remains elevated, but is moving into better balance with the supply of available workers. A slowing quit rates suggests a broader cooling is happening, which implies a moderation in labour cost growth that will help ease b...

2024-04-02 14:15:00 ET Summary Yields have surged across fixed income in the new regime. In Q2, we stay nimble and selective, preferring short-term sovereign bonds and high yield credit. The S&P 500 jumped 10% in Q1 even as bond yields rose on markets pricing out rate cuts. In...

2024-04-02 12:20:00 ET Summary Mounting pressures from macro megaforces point toward higher structural inflation and lower real GDP growth in the years ahead. We think higher inflation and slower economic growth will reverberate across the global fixed-income markets, shaping how ...

2024-04-02 07:36:00 ET Summary Markets continue to experience heightened volatility as participants pay close attention to every new economic data point, trying to divine the timing of the first central bank rate cuts. But investors who are overly focused on data surprises may los...

2024-04-02 05:30:00 ET Summary The stock market rang the doorbell of the New Year with a bang during the 1st quarter. Despite the magnitude and duration of the bull market, there is still a lot of angst and anxiety over the upcoming election. If economic data slows significant...

2024-04-02 04:15:00 ET Summary The way the first quarter went, with brief and very shallow pullbacks, one would think that stocks are partying like it is 1995. The rate cutting cycle that began in 1995 had three rate cuts, pretty much what the Fed has planned for 2024. While i...