SCHR News and Press, Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury From 04/10/24

2024-04-10 01:25:00 ET Summary The Fed will have to keep interest rates high to meet its inflation target but give up on maintaining financial stability, or else it can cut interest rates to stabilize the financial system. The Fed’s predicament stems from the fact that it k...

2024-04-09 19:30:00 ET Summary While the NFIB index was expected to tick up to 89.9 from 89.4 in February, it instead dropped to 88.5. That is the weakest reading since December 2012. Of the inputs to the Optimism index, only two rose month-over-month. Of those falling categories,...

2024-04-09 11:25:24 ET Summary Inflation is inevitable in the long term, and investors should prepare their portfolios for this environment. The current economic situation shares similarities with the period spanning from the Roaring Twenties to World War II. Gold, oil, and Bi...

2024-04-09 09:20:00 ET Summary We are value investors. In constructing portfolios for our clients, we seek out companies that we believe are trading in the market at significant discounts to their underlying value. These businesses must offer significant profit potential and be run by...

2024-04-09 06:00:00 ET Summary During the March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Since that meeting, it appears that t...

2024-04-09 03:30:00 ET Summary The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. As economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is pricing in fewer cuts. Some analysts are now sayi...

2024-04-09 01:11:00 ET Summary The glories of high-frequency trading were on full display last Thursday as the S&P 500 turned a 1% gain into a 1.2% loss for the day. It was all about the noise - the potential for a good jobs number being bad news for the prospects of a rate cu...

2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...

2024-04-08 12:20:00 ET Summary Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting and sectors set to benefit from spending shifts. U.S. yields jumped last week but U.S. stocks remain near all-time highs. The strong March U.S. jobs...

2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...