SCHR News and Press, Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury From 04/23/24

2024-04-23 09:00:00 ET Summary In its fight against inflation, the last thing that the Federal Reserve needs is an oil price shock that would result from the disruption of oil flowing through the Straits of Hormuz. High interest rates for longer are bound to deepen the commercial ...

2024-04-20 05:50:00 ET Summary Despite extraordinary monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, inflation remains elevated above its 2% target. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Interest rates suggest money is tight. The m...

2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...

2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...

2024-04-19 02:15:00 ET Summary The March CPI release was, in retrospect, the one that apparently convinced the Fed and the market that "disinflation has stalled." "Higher for longer" is now the interest rate mantra that is driving the market; it's made people nervous, so an equity...

2024-04-18 14:00:00 ET Summary Recent trends indicate a resurgence in bond implied volatility on a global basis, with U.S. interest rates leading the charge. Currently, U.S. rates are at their highest level of the year, and have returned to current-cycle highs of last year across ...

2024-04-18 06:00:00 ET Summary Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The Treasury market has been effectively making the same case for weeks, but when the top c...

2024-04-18 04:00:00 ET Summary Although no rate cuts yet, the Federal Reserve is considering reducing the pace of quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed’s ultimate goal is to have only Treasuries on its balance sheet. The reduction in the Fed’s securities holdings...

2024-04-17 05:00:00 ET Summary Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned that the path back to normal has hit a roadblock. Fighting inflation is a long game, and global central banks seem to be ...

2024-04-17 04:00:00 ET Summary The FOMC has been using a varied set of targets for monetary policy, but the relevance of these data points is questioned. The FOMC has shifted away from specific metrics and adopted a more ambiguous strategy, focusing on caution and confidence. ...