SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 11/01/22

Summary The Fed is going to meet this week and the course of the stock and bond markets, at least for a while, will be determined by what is decided at the FOMC meeting. Household and corporate balance sheets are remarkably liquid. Financials, real estate, and industrials led ...

Summary Money supply growth fell again in September, dropping to a 37-month low. Money supply growth can often be a helpful measure of economic activity, and an indicator of coming recessions. Since January of this year, the Fed has raised the target federal funds rate from .2...

Summary In recent decades, every instance in which the economy contracted two quarters in a row has coincided with a recession. The Fed tends to keep an even closer eye on the 10-year/3-month spread, and even that is now pointing to recession as well. The Fed has temporarily s...

Summary With inflationary pressures and recessionary fears remaining top-of-mind, equity managers see no short-term end to the bumpy ride in markets. One of the key risks cited by equity managers in our third-quarter report is the possibility of inflation remaining stuck at high l...

Summary Here are my big three for investors to consider in the fourth quarter of 2022: recessionary fears, high inflation, and slowing growth. As we analyze the risk of recession in the United States, we must consider whether the country can shift into a more normal expansion. ...

Summary Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF is offering a solid buying opportunity for investors who are bullish on the long-term performance of the U.S. equity market. Since there is a greater chance of a shift in the Fed's policy, the risk of more downside is declining. It is likely t...

Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...

Summary Why we may be facing a calamitous recession vs a run-of-the-mill one. The Fed's next move on rates may be more important than others. Is it time to start reflecting on the impact rates are having on the real economy? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been ...

Summary “Recession Fatigue” is setting in as consumers struggle under rising interest rates, high inflation, and a declining stock market. With unemployment rates at record lows, jobless claims at historically low levels, and consumer spending still above trend, an o...

Summary U.S. economy shrank in two consecutive quarters earlier in 2022. Recession Probability Track visually illustrates how that probability changes over time. CEOs or professional forecasters are giving much higher odds of a recession taking hold in the next 12 months than ...