SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 06/10/22

More Americans say they hear mostly negative news about the economy than hear positive news, or a balance of positive and negative. In many countries, a recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. There is indeed a sense in which high inflation can lea...

Consumers in America will keep spending in 2022 despite inflation running higher than wage gains. The surge in durable goods spending seen in the last two years may reduce demand for durables in the coming years - spending on consumer durables will taper down gradually but not severel...

If there was only one causal factor nudging the economy into recession, it might be a mild, brief recession. Severe, long-lasting recessions occur when multiple conditions arise at the same time. Since stimulus generated the inflation weighing on the economy, stimulus can't be use...

Developing markets are more sensitive to the ebbs and flows of global growth and inflation. The pivot to monetary tightening raises the odds of a near-term global recession. The big wave of easing in 2020 is at least partly to blame for elevated inflation. For further detail...

The US consumer price index (CPI) has risen by over 8% in the past year, similar to Europe’s 7.4% increase. In the US, higher retail gasoline prices have historically led to higher expectations of inflation, leading to higher actual inflation. Going forward, achieving a div...

If you are an investor and sell every time your perception of uncertainty rises, you will avoid risk, but you will also miss opportunities. Our heightened state of awareness about uncertainty has us focused on the negative outcomes, assuming the worst-case scenarios will be realized. ...

Periods of low volume and relatively small moves are normally comforting and allow us to avoid making decisions. My biggest concern is that I may not see enough that is important and draw the wrong conclusions. I am increasingly concerned that several others, including some well-known...

High-yield credit spreads have spiked higher by 112 basis points since the start of the year. Going down the size spectrum in U.S. equities, valuations are signaling a far more dire outlook. Despite superior earnings growth, the S&P 600 return of 21% has lagged the 28% return ...

Despite their general discontent, most people don’t seem to think a severe economic downturn is imminent - despite many warning signs. There are certainly many factors, but one likely reason people can’t see the train hurtling down the tracks is a psychological phenomeno...

While some doomsday-er economists are expecting a deeply destructive hurricane (deep recession), others are only seeing a mild drizzle (soft landing) developing. Stock market veterans understand that stock prices can go down when current economic news is sunny but future expectations ...