SDS News and Press, ProShares UltraShort S&P500 From 03/21/23

2023-03-21 04:20:00 ET Summary Major bank failures are occurring in the US and Europe. Bank failures are common in major recessions, and all fractional reserve banks are at risk. This banking crisis could be worse than the Great Recession. High inflation puts the Fed betwe...

2023-03-21 02:30:00 ET Summary Inflation flares up and interest rates rise, reducing the value of the municipal bonds and funding dries up. Despite all the turmoil in the banking sector, US stocks managed to post a gain last week but it was entirely due to the rise in technology a...

2023-03-20 14:58:00 ET Summary As of Friday’s close, QQQ actually finished in overbought territory whereas many other major index ETFs were oversold. Historically, the major indices, namely the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, tend to trade at similar overbought and oversold levels....

2023-03-20 11:15:00 ET Summary Now that their interest rate policy is starting to cause things to break, the Fed can continue to raise interest rates and watch the systemic risk to the system increase or cut interest rates and watch inflation explode. I expect them to raise rates ...

2023-03-20 11:00:00 ET Summary While I am not a perma-bear, I have certainly addressed my expectations for a long-term bear market to be seen. Financial markets are not linear, so you should never approach them with this type of perspective. One needs to understand long-term h...

2023-03-19 07:46:00 ET Summary The annual change in real US GDP and the S&P 500 shows broadly the same trends over the last 20 years. To quantify the relationship between the US economy and the stock market, we calculated rolling 10-year correlations. Even if economies and...

2023-03-19 05:41:00 ET Summary Idiosyncratic factors certainly played a role in SVB’s failure and the recent turmoil we’re seeing in US regional banks as well as overseas at Credit Suisse. CS is a much larger and more economically critical bank than SVB, with signifi...

2023-03-18 08:54:00 ET Summary S&P 500 earnings don’t start for another 3 – 4 weeks and are almost an afterthought now. The forward 4-quarter estimate slid this week to $221.49 from last week’s $221.55. Looking at companies like Meta (META) and Federal...

2023-03-18 08:30:00 ET Summary The Fed began raising interest rates one year ago, on March 17, 2022, and the U.S. economy is not in recession. Milton Friedman famously found that the time lags are long and variable. The factors delaying recession will not prevent it, and it&#x...

2023-03-18 08:21:00 ET Summary Could the consensus view of a 'no recession' scenario be wrong? As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. What happened with SVB is a result of tighter monetary policy extracting liquidity from the banking system. While ...