SFY News and Press, SoFi Select 500 From 04/06/21

Under normal circumstances, the economy is relatively close to its steady-state glide path, and the fixed-income market is quite reasonably jittery with respect to the latest growth rates. The reality is that current conditions are nowhere near normal. At the beginning of the last cyc...

Last Friday's March 2021 payroll report exceeded expectations in nearly every category. Analysts were hoping for something like the ADP's private employment gains (+517k), somewhere in the ballpark of 550,000-600,000. Instead, the BLS thinks the whole economy had added between 803,700...

During the Pandemic, discretionary services such as travel and entertainment have been hard hit, and consumer spending on services in February was still down 5.2% from a year ago. But the services sector is enormous, ranging from healthcare to tech, and demand has been strong in many ...

The BLS reported Friday that the US added nearly 1,000,000 jobs in March, a number well above the supposed consensus of 675,000 jobs. It was what the market has been looking for - the arrival of the end-of-the-virus-boom. However, even a booming jobs report that showed job growth acro...

Archegos provides yet another anecdote that the expansive global derivatives marketplace is at the epicenter of leverage and speculative excess. From numerous reports, it appears Archegos had fund equity of around $10 billion. Positions have been estimated in the range of $50 billion ...

Despite a weaker February, more forward-looking data remains robust and the economic growth outlook is strong. The concern that's developing is, of course, on inflation. We are likely to see a move higher in inflation in the near term. Strategas Chief Economist Don Rissmiller dive...

Consumer Confidence increased to its highest level since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020. The headline number of 109.7 was an increase of 19.3 from the final reading of 90.4 for February. This was above the Investing.com consensus of 96.9. For further details see: ...

The recent government bond yield spike has pressured tech stocks, yet we are still constructive on technology both on tactical and strategic horizons. The Federal Reserve made clear its intent to stay behind the curve on inflation, keeping short-term rates low for longer than they wou...

In the final accounting for real GDP for 2020, we're back to Goldilocks growth after a way-too-cold second quarter (-31.4%, annualized from the previous quarter) and a torrid third quarter (+33.4%). The fourth quarter was "just right," at +4.3%, up from February's 4.1% estimate. The m...

After a fire at a factory owned by Renesas Electronics, it will be at least a month before they can restart operations at their semi-conductor plant. As a result, Japanese auto manufacturers all sold off, since they will now likely have to further curtail production. The speed of Covi...