SFYF News and Press, SoFi 50 From 02/01/22

In investing, the big five could more aptly refer to the connected categories of growth, inflation, interest rates, valuations, and style. 2022 is shaping up to be one of slowing toward more normal, healthy rates of economic growth and inflation, thereby paving the way to a sustainabl...

Traditional portfolio diversification has primarily focused on the number of holdings, sectors, large vs. small cap, etc. I consider diversifying via a large range of P/E valuations as a better way to capture CAGR but avoid significant drawdowns. Can I build a hypothetical portfol...

We think current cost-push inflation is poised to give way to a healthy, regenerative demand-pull environment, replete with moderate economic growth that is beneficial for the value companies in which we invest. History has shown moderate inflation can be good for value stocks. We con...

Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that its preliminary estimate for third-quarter growth was an anemic 2%. This was partly due to the fact that consumer spending grew at only a 1.6% annual pace, down from a torrid 12% annual pace in the second quarter. The Commerce Depa...

While preference for growth or value investing can depend on factors like the economic cycle or time horizon, uncertainty in the current environment has amplified the growth vs. value debate. Although high-growth investments may seem more enticing during hot equity markets, value inve...

The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...

Much of the outperformance of growth vs. value is explained by the persistently low-rate environment. Correlations between performance and the change in 10-year Treasuries seem to be getting stronger. Rolling 1-year correlation between changes in Treasury rates and growth/value re...

The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...

The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...

After several strong quarters for value stocks, the last few months have seen a sharp reversal in favor of growth. The probability of any particular value stock being a “value trap” in a given year is about 30%. Value stocks are currently trading at a 40% discount to...