SJB News and Press, ProShares Short High Yield From 12/02/21

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...

InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips “Hyperinflation is going to change everything. It’s happening.” Twitter (NYSE: TWTR ) co-founder Jack Dorsey issued this ominous warning two weeks ago, by tweeting it of course. Source: Shutters...

The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...

The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...

US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...

Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...

Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...

Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...

How to achieve a respectable income without taking on too much risk. What's the right risk/yield trade-off for reasonable income? Will '80s-style inflation return? For further details see: The Great Fixed Income Challenge: Balancing Yield And Risk In A Low-Rate World

What sets the current environment apart is the broad-based nature of input-cost inflation, spanning raw materials, logistics/transportation, and labor, as well as shortages of intermediate goods such as semiconductors. Companies are leaning heavily on pricing, in addition to productiv...