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SPY - Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - 2 November 2021
SPDR S&P 500
The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month.
The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based model (detailed below).
GMI is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design.