SPMO News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Momentum From 04/20/24

2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...

2024-04-20 05:05:59 ET Summary We can assume that global carry trades have mushroomed over recent years to the Trillions, with speculative leverage seductively bolstering liquidity and asset prices virtually everywhere. Losses are mounting throughout Asian currency markets. Ch...

2024-04-20 03:00:00 ET Summary The Leading Indicator, at 75, suggests a sustained level of moderate growth, maintaining a consistent trend within the range of above-neutral performance observed over the past year. The Lagging Indicator suggests moderate contraction, continuing a p...

2024-04-20 02:40:00 ET Summary The latest National Federation of Independent Business survey was an economic warning that departed widely from more robust governmental reports. While recent government data on economic growth and employment remain robust, the NFIB small business co...

2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...

2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...

2024-04-19 02:15:00 ET Summary The March CPI release was, in retrospect, the one that apparently convinced the Fed and the market that "disinflation has stalled." "Higher for longer" is now the interest rate mantra that is driving the market; it's made people nervous, so an equity...

2024-04-18 13:00:00 ET Summary While the US national debt exceeds $34 trillion, it isn't necessarily a problem for investors. The US has more assets than liabilities, and much of its debt is domestically owned. US Treasuries are among the safest, most liquid assets in the worl...

2024-04-18 07:45:00 ET Summary Amid all-time highs for gold and sticky inflation, we turn our eye to the concerning fiscal outlook for 2025. At the end of 2023, we suggested that the three major macro factors - monetary policy, government spending and global economic growth - woul...

2024-04-18 06:00:00 ET Summary Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened. The Treasury market has been effectively making the same case for weeks, but when the top c...