STPP News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ILN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A From 03/17/19

By Erik Norland The past two employment reports took markets on a wild ride, with 311,000 jobs created in January, but only 20,000 in February. If you average the two, however, U.S. employers have been creating about 165,000 jobs per month so far in 2019, which is close to what our model s...

Ross Clark - Gold, oil, yield curves, stock markets. Wolf Richter - Debt crisis, trade war. John Rubino - Debt, US dollar, US economy, central banks Larry Reaugh - President & CEO of American Manganese Inc. Jim Pettit - President & CEO of Aben Re...

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The BCI at 249.2 is below last week's 249.9, and remains below this business cycle’s peak as indicated by the BCIp at 80.3. Also, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 9.5 is below last week’s 10.1. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a recession. (BCIp needs to drop be...

A little over one month ago, I penned a research note titled, " Bonds Are Saying Something - We Should Be Listening ," in which I gave a comprehensive analysis of interest rates and discussed the opposing messages in the stock market and the bond market. While some readers took this anal...

Quantitative tightening has been running at full speed for almost 5 months now (and for a total period of 17 months since commencing in October 2017), and with QT finally coming front of mind for investors I thought it would be a good idea to update some of the charts from my previous " 8 Char...

This morning, my normal global scan of economic data and updates to existing models was augmented by a series of surveys from IHS Markit on Business Conditions. While IHS Markit updated the business conditions for many individual countries including the United States, Spain, France, Ita...

What do you expect economic growth to be in the United States for the next four or five years? Do you see the economy moving ahead at a fairly rapid pace or do you see it proceeding along at a rather tepid speed, something more in line with the overall economic growth of the past ten years? ...

This is a solo cast with me Chris D. As a quantitative systematic trader, I look at price action to come up with a repeatable approach to trading the global macro space. Generally speaking the markets don’t line up all together in a way that is easy to identify, but this last w...

Two months ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell set off a market panic. He suggested the FOMC would do what it thinks is right and let asset prices go where they may. They promised at least two if not three more rate hikes in 2019. The stock market fell out of bed. Fast forward to now. The Fed...