TMF News and Press, Direxion Daily 20-Yr Treasury Bull 3x Shrs From 04/09/24

2024-04-09 01:11:00 ET Summary The glories of high-frequency trading were on full display last Thursday as the S&P 500 turned a 1% gain into a 1.2% loss for the day. It was all about the noise - the potential for a good jobs number being bad news for the prospects of a rate cu...

2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...

2024-04-08 12:20:00 ET Summary Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting and sectors set to benefit from spending shifts. U.S. yields jumped last week but U.S. stocks remain near all-time highs. The strong March U.S. jobs...

2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...

2024-04-06 03:50:00 ET Summary For the past 12 months, despite the interest rates that the Fed jacked up to 5.25%, nearly 3 million nonfarm payroll jobs have been added. Average hourly earnings rose in March at an annualized rate of 4.3%, also according to the survey of employers,...

2024-04-06 02:50:00 ET Summary Prices will rise when the eagerness of buyers outpaces the eagerness of the sellers regardless of the depth of the market. This month’s labor report showed one of the sharpest slowdowns of recent years with the rate of change slowing from 4.6%...

2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...

2024-04-06 01:35:00 ET Summary As diligently as everyone is looking for signs of a consumer slowdown, the numbers keep telling us that household spending continues apace. The labor market is not showing signs of slowing. Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics s...

2024-04-05 09:05:00 ET Summary Three mega-forces seem set to dominate the investment landscape for the next decade or longer, with major implications for the macro regime and portfolio design. Each of these far-reaching forces - climate change, demographics and deglobalization - i...

2024-04-05 08:25:00 ET Summary By January 2025, the Federal Reserve  is likely to be in an easing cycle, which may benefit the market regardless of who wins the election. A recent quote from Fed Chair Jerome Powell about the Fed, inflation, and confidence was music to my ears...