TPLC News and Press, Timothy Plan US Large Cap Core From 06/22/24

2024-06-22 23:08:00 ET Summary If the Bank of England’s decision on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged is a guide, the outlook for the start date for a US rate cut may be further down the line than generally assumed. It’s also striking that UK inflation is we...

2024-06-22 08:45:00 ET Summary Central banks in Australia and Norway resisted rate cuts, leading to currency appreciation, while New Zealand's central bank faced skepticism from investors. The Bank of Canada, perceived as dovish, saw the Canadian dollar strengthen despite expectat...

2024-06-22 02:54:52 ET Summary With the election cycle entering its last five months, the political cycle will now be part of the current macro scene. This has the potential to be a market-moving issue due to the stark economic policy differences between the two candidates. In...

2024-06-21 12:04:26 ET Summary Federal Reserve's securities portfolio declined by $8.6 billion in the latest banking week ending June 19. Over the three banking weeks ending June 19, the portfolio decreased by $36.6 billion. The Federal Reserve is continuing to reduce the size...

2024-06-21 11:19:49 ET Summary Markets could face significant declines of 15%-20% in the second half of 2024 due to risk repricing and contracting valuations. Credit spreads and implied volatility levels are rising, possibly due to uncertainties around upcoming elections and conce...

2024-06-21 09:00:00 ET Summary I reflect on past bear markets caused by unsustainable debt levels and valuations, but do not see similar circumstances today. Current concerns about a looming bear market are addressed, with a focus on overbought conditions in the technology sector ...

2024-06-21 04:52:00 ET Summary As the first half wraps up, both US and foreign stocks are solidly positive amid AI euphoria. In the stock market, despite many calls for a broadening out of the rally, the mega-cap AI theme reasserted its dominance following small caps’ surge...

2024-06-21 04:44:10 ET Summary The S&P 500 index is currently overvalued, with its P/E and CAPE ratios significantly above historical averages, suggesting limited future returns and heightened risk. There are increasing signs of economic weakness, including rising unemployment...

2024-06-20 21:39:20 ET Summary The European Central Bank has informed the governments of the European Union to get their budgets under control. The ECB believes that the growing debt levels will "eventually" cause pain as the debt will have to be dealt with. Debt levels contin...

2024-06-20 19:45:00 ET Summary Below is a quick look at trailing 12-month price to sales ratios (P/S) over the last five years for the large-cap S&P 500 and small-cap Russell 2,000 along with each index's respective Technology sector. The Russell 2000's price to sales ratio is...