TRND News and Press, Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF From 03/02/22

As the world reels from the crisis, the blowback is rippling across the world economy and markets. The current risk premia analysis implicitly recommends managing expectations down for GMI and other global multi-asset-class portfolios. The mean reversion factor is estimated as the...

Larger companies have the advantage of scale, pricing power, greater ability to pass on higher costs to consumers, and stronger negotiating power with suppliers to name a few. Net profit will be an area looked at closely given the potential for multiple Fed rate hikes which will incre...

Canada sheds 200,000 jobs in January amid omicron wave. U.S. consumer prices rise at fastest rate in 40 years. Are brighter days ahead for U.S. small cap stocks? For further details see: Red-Hot: U.S. Inflation Surges At Blistering Pace

While US large caps have also struggled lately, they’ve fared far better than their smaller counterparts. Over the past year, much of the Russell 1000’s outperformance is attributable to its bigger exposures to technology and consumer discretionary industries. The sm...

There’s an important disconnect between stocks and bonds today. Specially, I am looking at two fundamental indicators for evaluating long-term interest rates. The first is the performance of small cap stocks relative to large caps. Typically, this ratio has moved in concert wit...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...

The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...

The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...

US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...