UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 04/12/24

2024-04-12 05:00:00 ET Summary The Producer Price Index data got a lot of attention today because it didn’t increase as sharply as a month ago. The seasonal adjustments in March were far larger than in the Marches during the years before the pandemic. The PPI, not seaso...

2024-04-11 08:05:00 ET Summary The market appears to be catching its proverbial breath today, but the shallow consolidation suggests the moves are not over. The dollar has reached nearly JPY153.30, and although Japanese officials cautioned about the FX moves, intervention while Pr...

2024-04-11 05:00:00 ET Summary Core services CPI jumped by 5.6% annualized in March from February. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose by 4.4% annualized in March from February, the same increase as in February. The Fed has been in desperate search of confidence tha...

2024-04-11 04:10:00 ET Summary The likelihood of cuts between July and October is slim because the election is too close and the pace of change is slower than can justify cuts by then. We’ve made tremendous progress in the fight against inflation. Headline CPI has come down...

2024-04-11 00:04:00 ET Summary US inflation came in at 0.4% MoM for the third consecutive month, more than double the rate we need to consistently hit to bring inflation down to 2% YoY. Expectations for a June Federal Reserve interest rate cut have collapsed, with the higher for l...

2024-04-10 12:30:00 ET Summary Perceptions change with each new data point and each new comment from central bankers. I believe June is the month to watch. I expect the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada, and the European Central Bank to cut rates in June, and the Bank of Engl...

2024-04-10 07:00:00 ET Summary Given the backup of US rates and the stronger-than-expected jobs growth, the greenback's performance has been unimpressive. The Hang Seng (1.85%) and the mainland companies that trade there (2.06%) led the region. Benchmark 10-year yields are mos...

2024-04-09 19:30:00 ET Summary While the NFIB index was expected to tick up to 89.9 from 89.4 in February, it instead dropped to 88.5. That is the weakest reading since December 2012. Of the inputs to the Optimism index, only two rose month-over-month. Of those falling categories,...

2024-04-09 11:25:24 ET Summary Inflation is inevitable in the long term, and investors should prepare their portfolios for this environment. The current economic situation shares similarities with the period spanning from the Roaring Twenties to World War II. Gold, oil, and Bi...

2024-04-09 08:15:00 ET Summary The dollar is trading with a softer bias in mostly narrow ranges against the G10 currencies. Most of the large Asia Pacific equity markets rallied, led by a 1.85% gain in Taiwan and a 1.1% advance by the Nikkei. The dollar's high against the yen ...