UDN News and Press, Invesco DB USD Index Bearish From 05/18/24

2024-05-18 13:25:00 ET Summary The highlight of the week may be the preliminary May PMI estimates. Though, market participants appear to put more weight on the ISM than the PMI. Former President Trump has threatened higher tariffs on all Chinese goods if he is elected. The direct ...

2024-05-18 07:00:00 ET Summary Edward Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, has been - and remains - bullish on the stock market given a Federal Reserve that will likely retreat to the sidelines, strong consumer spending, and a solid growth outlook. Jose Torres, Senior Economist...

2024-05-17 07:05:00 ET Summary The dollar's recovery begun yesterday has extended into today's activity. Japan's markets were mixed, but South Korea, Taiwan, and Australian and New Zealand shares fell. The spring EC forecast recognized that fragile recovery is taking hold in t...

2024-05-16 14:30:00 ET Summary US CPI improves the inflation picture. US inflation is improving but some aspects are still troubling for the Fed. What the US bond market tells us about the outlook for rates. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha ...

2024-05-16 13:30:00 ET Summary The YoY CPI has been near the low 3% range since June of last year, but it has picked back up over the last two months. Looking at the individual categories relative to history, it is clear that Energy is having an outsize effect and that shelter rem...

2024-05-16 12:30:00 ET Summary The move shows central banks aren’t waiting for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, and it indicates confidence that the European Central Bank will cut in June. The Eurozone Services Purchasing Managers’ Index hit an 11-month high in Apri...

2024-05-16 12:25:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index increased 0.3 percent last month, for a year-over-year change of 3.4 percent. Headline CPI inflation was 5.3 percent in February and 3.7 percent in April. We usually assume, at mini...

2024-05-16 11:20:00 ET Summary Wednesday’s CPI report was a big relief for the Fed after 4 consecutive upside surprises. The key metric was core CPI, which came in at 3.62% year over year vs last month’s rate of 3.8%. The problem is, inflation is almost exactly i...

2024-05-16 07:20:00 ET Summary After months of worsening data on CPI inflation, we got still bad, but less bad, data today for April by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core services CPI, which accounts for about 60% of total CPI, increased by 5.3% YoY in April, roughly the same ho...

2024-05-16 01:20:00 ET Summary The pace of core inflation slowed in April, but more progress is needed. After an unexpectedly strong first quarter for U.S. inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April showed some disinflationary progress, albeit still from elevated levels. ...