VGLT News and Press, Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF From 10/18/22

Summary Global GDP growth is still expected to be positive in 2022 (excluding Russia) but is expected to fall fairly dramatically in 2023. The U.S. Q3 2022 earnings season has just begun, and the outlook is for lower but still positive revenue and earnings growth. Inflation wi...

Summary Bear markets create opportunities for much greater and much faster profits than bull markets. So far in 2022, investors have sold everything, especially in recent months: stocks, bonds, gold, currencies, real estate, art, etc. This is common to the way that bear markets be...

Summary At the beginning of 2022, our most reliable stock market valuation measures stood at record levels, beyond even their 1929 and 2000 extremes. In our evaluation of market conditions, it’s useful to consider market conditions from the standpoint of multiple time horiz...

Summary Equities attempted a rebound from the initial knee-jerk plunge in the wake of yet another consensus-beating U.S. CPI print last week. But the S&P 500 fell 2.4% on Friday, finishing the week with a 1.8% loss. It is difficult to see anything but pain in equities as long ...

Summary The 10-year yield closed at 4.02% on Oct. 17, the highest level since 2008. Tenaciously elevated inflation is keeping the Fed on a hawkish path. The combination of a hawkish Fed that’s committed to taming inflation is expected to slow the economy, perhaps unleas...

Summary As has been the case in recent weeks, the stock market finds itself in a position where various technical factors, market internals, positioning and sentiment are suggesting this sell-off may be overdone and a short-covering rally due. While the ‘pain trade’ ...

Summary Pre-COVID U.S. federal debt stood at $23.2 trillion. At last count, the number is $30.5 trillion. Not all of that $7.3 trillion increase is due to COVID, but most of it is. That aggressive deficit spending, monetized by the Fed, ended up circulating in the economy, balloon...

Summary Financial markets have entered a period of head-spinning volatility. Consumer inflation remains at record highs across major developed economies. Higher yields will bring new income-generating opportunities and significant shifts in risk-return assessments. ...

Summary An imminent recession is predicted by Bloomberg probability models that now forecast a 100% likelihood of a US recession hitting by October 2023, up from 65% for the comparable period in the previous update. Record rate hikes in 2022 have rendered the most negative 10-year...

Summary The Fed isn’t likely to stop raising rates anytime soon which means cash is starting to become a viable competitor to the increasingly volatile trading in stocks and bonds. Liquidity is now reaching very dangerous levels. The US Ten-Year Note Yield crossed the 4...