VRIG News and Press, Invesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF From 06/27/19

On Wednesday, Goldman slashed their G10 yield forecasts for 2019 and the revisions were pretty dramatic . For instance, the bank now sees 10-year German yields at -0.55% by year-end and 10-year JGB yields at -0.30%. The bank's outlook is well below market forwards. To a certain extent, ...

If you have nothing left, it can sound like a winning argument, but you have to really try hard enough. In October 2015, with another false dawn dawning on the public, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke wrote and op-ed published in the Wall Street Journal . As had become his habit...

The 10-year Treasury rate has fallen below 2.0% for the first time since November 2016, blowing through the bearish reasons to "short" bonds at the last "blow-off" top. As I have outlined in many of my past research notes, the driving factors behind US Treasury rates are credit risk, ...

We're Worried Because Any change in interest rates, in either direction, is the major macroeconomic factor we're worried about as investors. It's the great unknown in the current economy, which way are central banks going to jump? As long as we don't see inflation coming then we can assume t...

Treasury bond volatility is picking up. That’s a big red flag for the credit market – and yet another sign that the U.S. economic cycle is slowing. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough and Macro analyst Darius Dale explain in the clip above how a rise in bond market volatility ...

For several years now, officials at the Federal Reserve claim that they are data driven. Well, the markets continue to take the Fed at its word. After favorable words by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials this week, the stock market has took off, bond prices r...

Following this morning's soft jobs print , traders in short-term interest rates have sharply upped bets on rate cuts - with a move by the Fed in July now seen as a near-certainty. More news on: iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF, Vanguard Sh...

On Friday, the stock market closed down making May the worst month for stocks this year. The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index closed at 2,752, down from the historic highs hit toward the end of April. And, with the growing threat of major tariff changes, the probability that ther...

Back in the 1980s and 1990s, many people thought excessive government spending and the resulting debt would bring inflation or even hyperinflation. We wanted a hawkish Federal Reserve or, better yet, a gold standard to prevent it. Reality turned out differently. Federal debt rose steadily,...

Unlike most articles that have the President's name in the title, this note will not be political in nature but rather will discuss some facts regarding the trade dispute with China and our trading relationship with the rest of the world. I want to outline one of the problems that the admini...