VTIP News and Press, Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities From 02/27/23

Summary I think everyone can agree that stocks and bonds sold off last year because interest rates rose. Interest rates have certainly risen of late but they are still below the peaks of last year and almost unchanged since stocks made their low on October 12, 2022. One of the thing...

Summary Canadian inflation is decelerating, but jobs and spending remain strong. The full impact of interest rates hikes may not be felt yet. TD Asset Management's Alexandra Gorewicz says there may be a case to hold rates for now. Strong economic data has some inve...

Summary The Federal Reserve’s rate hike campaign over the past year has trimmed this spread to below 2%. Even during the 1970s and 1980s, when inflation averaged over 6% for two decades, dividend growth kept pace with inflation. For much of the last decade, equities comfortab...

Summary Real yields on 10-Year TIPS have recently surged to 1.5%, the highest level since 2010. The 10-Year breakeven inflation rate is still hovering between 2.25-2.50%. Wall Street does not appear concerned right now about inflation over the long term. Numerous economic data r...

Summary Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are among the most attractive asset classes at present based on their expected returns relative to their downside risk. With a real yield of 1.9%, the Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF offers relatively strong returns ...

Summary Expert recommendations for choosing among the myriad of Vanguard ETFs may prove to be a valuable resource to investors, even if not all of them will prove right. I present such recommendations made by highly knowledgeable sources, along with my own recommendations and the reason...

Summary Can the bond market rally last? What the rally in bonds means for the 60/40 portfolio. End of the rate hike cycle in sight? The bond market has started 2023 on a much stronger footing than it was on for much of last year. Greg Bonnell speaks with Scott Colb...

Summary China’s reopening, lower energy prices and cooling inflation reinforce our long-term positive view on equities. Yet, we think market optimism has come too soon. Stocks paused their rally and bond yields steadied after recession worries returned. We think we are starting t...

Summary Strains are building, and the U.S. will likely enter recession in the second half of 2023. By then, Europe will likely be emerging from recession, while China and Emerging Asia may be enjoying a COVID-reopening-inspired recovery. Segments of the inflation basket will soften rapi...

Summary On a short-term basis, gold, silver and mining stocks are looking overbought and in need of the pullback. The divergence between gold and real yields has again become pronounced, suggesting precious metals markets may have gotten ahead of themselves for the time being. Takin...