XOP News and Press, SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product From 09/12/22

Summary We think the energy crisis will spur a recession in Europe. The ECB is trying to fight inflation without recognizing the costs. We prefer credit over equities. The ECB raised rates by a record 0.75%. We think the ECB will keep raising rates through year-end until the econo...

Summary England and Europe’s near-total reliance on Russia for their energy needs has prices spiking massively the last several months. We are starting to see the latest government bailouts - those of utilities. We feel that the only real consequential downside moves in the...

Summary May Non-OPEC production decreased by 148 kb/d to 48,834 kb/d. World oil production in May decreased by 638 kb/d to 78,947 kb/d according to the EIA. The supply-demand situation for 2023 is expected to be very tight with February 2023 showing a shortage of over 2,000 kb...

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Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...

Summary OPEC cuts production but WTI crude falls to print fresh 52 week lows. Other commodity markets are also showing weakness. There is a big divergence between news (higher inflation story) and price action. Key chart to watch: Invesco DB Commodity Index ETF (DBC). ...

Summary Russia’s Gazprom stated that it had identified a defect in the last working turbine of the Nord Stream gas pipeline that carries Russian gas under the Baltic Sea to Germany. It’s not just a difficult winter that lies ahead for Europe, but at least two or thre...

Summary We believe that cash flow and debt sustainability are likely to become increasingly important as real economic growth slows and credit access tightens. Cash flow provides a link between a company’s income statement and their balance sheet. Focusing on the Russel...

Summary The FCG ETF provides exposure to companies that derive a substantial portion of revenues from production of natural gas. FCG has 85% weight to Exploration and Production companies, vs. 30% and 70% for XLE and XOP ETF respectively. Due to its higher E&P weight, FCG ...

Summary With the Fed draining $95 billion in liquidity from the banking system as it accelerates QT, things could go from bad to worse, although bearish sentiment is increasing and the market is getting very oversold. There are still areas of the market that are worth considering,...