Many analysts doubt a no-deal Brexit is likely. They think some last-minute agreement will emerge.
In theory, a “hard” Brexit is in no one’s interest. It makes no sense, the logic goes. So it won’t happen.
The problem is that politicians may have entirely different interests. And they happen to miscalculate.
If governments were always sensible, we would never have wars. Yet we do, because politicians are capable of making terrible mistakes.
Uncertainty Lingers
Here’s a handy map my friend and renowned geopolitical expert George Friedman shared in his 2019 forecast:
Source: Geopolitical Futures
Some