SH: Today we have with us Tara Sinclair, an associate professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University and a senior fellow of the Indeed Hiring Lab. Dr. Sinclair is also a research professor at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) in Germany, and a research associate at the Center for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) at the Australian National University. She is regularly quoted by the press, including in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, the Financial Times, and has appeared on CNN, C-Span, NPR, Fox Business,