I use what I like to call a "Technomental Approach" to analyze commodities markets. Fundamental supply and demand provide clues that lead to price direction bias. Technical factors uncover what the herd of buyers or sellers are doing leading to direction when it comes to execution levels to enter or exist risk positions.
When it comes to the fundamentals, the structure of a market includes its forward curve, the impact of processing spreads, quality and location differentials, and substitution spreads. While no one part of a market's structure is a sure thing when it comes