Introduction
Given the ample historical evidence, this seems to be a classic scenario surrounding a yield curve inversion before a recession. None of the leading indicators are clearly signaling that this time could be different.
- Who Wants To Bet Against The Yield Curve: Is This Time Different?, St. Louis Fed, Carlos Garriga, Vice President and Economist, and Matthew Famiglietti, Research Associate
I have been a total return investor all of my life, but frequently discuss strategies and funds with a dedicated income investor. The primary difference is how we see risk. To