U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply in March, breaking out of the tight range they had traded in early this year. Could yields head lower still, extending the rally in Treasury prices? We take a cautious short-term stance, and see recent moves as excessive. Yet, we still like U.S. Treasuries for their key role as portfolio diversifiers.
Chart of the week
Market pricing of 2020 U.S. interest rate moves, 2018-2019
There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass.
Sources: BlackRock Investment Institute, with data from Bloomberg, April 2019. Notes: The chart shows