- Although I am working with obviously incomplete and biased information, I view the possibility of the cessation of hostilities within a few weeks to be unlikely.
- The sanctions, war disruptions, and a Western private sector that is cutting ties to Russia means that we are facing an extremely rapid unravelling of commercial and financial flows between the West and Russia and Ukraine.
- Although sanctions may be in place between the NATO-aligned industrial democracies and Russia, commodity flows out of Russia are likely to resume.
For further details see:
Waiting For Diplomacy