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The August nonfarm payroll report showed the delta variant hit to the economy is just beginning. Next week is all about Fed speak. ECB meetings are about to get far more interesting. It is a quiet week for economic data, with Wednesday’s JOLTS job openings reading for July,...
Remarkably, in a speech on monetary policy given at the Jackson Hole conference last Friday, Jay Powell never mentioned money, money supply, M1 or M2. With the Biden administration unable to reduce its budget deficit, a rising interest rate environment, reflecting price inflation, is ...
A recent study by the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that a gold allocation of 10% helped improve risk-adjusted returns over the past 20 years. In July, consumer prices rose 5.4% compared to last year, the second straight month of inflation over 5%. Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
Following the economic disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic and the unprecedented stimulus response, supply bottlenecks and a rebound in demand have been a feature of 2021. We observe that a diversified portfolio approach has had the highest correlation to upside inflation and the leas...
The measuring stick is critical when determining whether an asset is in a bull market. If a measuring stick is losing value at a fast enough pace, then almost everything will appear to be in a bull market relative to it. That’s where the gold/SPX ratio (the US$ gold price divid...
A metals bull is sounding an alarm for a potentially bearish decline. We currently have a setup developing that can provide a big hit to the metals market. I outline the parameters for this potential decline below. For further details see: Sentiment Speaks: Dangerous Pos...
Melek: Data suggests oil demand we expected in Q3 and early part of Q4 may not materialize indicating markets are a lot less tight than we thought. Melek: Oil inventories drawdowns likely to abate. Melek: We still like oil around US$66-68/barrel. For further details see: ...
The upcoming week is all about the Federal Reserve’s symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Government regulatory risk continues to dominate China equity markets, this time with President Xi pushing an agenda of wealth redistribution from rich to poor. Global macro weakness ha...
After the pandemic’s initial spending splurge, the bill is due, and global growth is mean-reverting again. Treasury yields are confirming the disinflationary ride as we thought that they should. Similar trends are unfolding in the great hot north, with Canadian government b...
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2024-06-16 00:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-06 02:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 10:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...