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2024-04-10 05:12:00 ET Summary US credit card debt topped $1.34 trillion in February, significantly above the cycle tops of around $900 billion in 2008 and 2020. New car loans (5-year term) at 8.22% are above the 2007 rate peak. Corporate bankruptcy filings have been leaping s...
2024-04-10 01:25:00 ET Summary The Fed will have to keep interest rates high to meet its inflation target but give up on maintaining financial stability, or else it can cut interest rates to stabilize the financial system. The Fed’s predicament stems from the fact that it k...
2024-04-09 19:30:00 ET Summary While the NFIB index was expected to tick up to 89.9 from 89.4 in February, it instead dropped to 88.5. That is the weakest reading since December 2012. Of the inputs to the Optimism index, only two rose month-over-month. Of those falling categories,...
2024-04-09 07:18:00 ET Summary Broad-based global economic indicators have clearly improved in the past three-to-six months, and this has happened as inflation has come down. The major DM central banks might not have started their easing cycle yet, but the underlying thrust of glo...
2024-04-09 07:00:00 ET Summary Yields are likely to remain elevated, with the prospects of a 0.3% US core CPI print on Wednesday. One of the market’s – and the Fed’s – challenges remains the discrepancy between strength in official data and weakness in ...
2024-04-09 06:00:00 ET Summary During the March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Since that meeting, it appears that t...
2024-04-09 03:30:00 ET Summary The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. As economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is pricing in fewer cuts. Some analysts are now sayi...
2024-04-09 01:11:00 ET Summary The glories of high-frequency trading were on full display last Thursday as the S&P 500 turned a 1% gain into a 1.2% loss for the day. It was all about the noise - the potential for a good jobs number being bad news for the prospects of a rate cu...
2024-04-08 12:20:00 ET Summary Working-age populations are declining in major economies. We favor countries that are better adapting and sectors set to benefit from spending shifts. U.S. yields jumped last week but U.S. stocks remain near all-time highs. The strong March U.S. jobs...
2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...
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2024-03-18 03:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-16 17:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-03 08:05:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...