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I expect more businesses to close in the coming weeks and months, and anticipate that the upcoming US jobs reports will reflect very anemic job growth. If infections in Western developed countries rise enough, that could be very damaging to their economies, and in a worst-case scenari...
Asset valuations, in themselves, cannot tell us when bubbles will burst, but they suggest when we are witnessing them and the depth of liquidation coming on the other side. Today, equities, corporate and many sovereign bonds (and the funds and ETFs that hold them) are more extremely p...
The traditional business cycle playbook does not apply to the pandemic. Central banks have signaled they will be more willing to let economies run hot with above-target inflation by changing their policy frameworks to make up for prior inflation undershoots. The powerful stimulus ...
China's November economic data matched expectations. Industrial output accelerated to 7.0% year over year form 6.5%. The UK reported that job cuts hit a record in the three months through October, rising by 217k. The US reports the December Empire Manufacturing Survey today (the B...
We favor inflation-linked bonds and see equities supported in strategic portfolios, expecting firmer inflation and falling real rates in coming years. Global stocks hit record highs amid positive vaccine news even as near-term challenges weighed. U.S. fiscal package talks continued. ...
UK and EU negotiators are still talking which has spurred a sharp bounce in sterling. Most emerging market currencies are higher, with the Turkish lira and a few East Asian currencies notable exceptions. The greenback is also consolidating against the Mexican peso. For furth...
The Johnson-von der Leyen dinner is seen as evidence that both sides see one more opportunity, and the sterling is among the strongest currencies today. Hopes of a $900 bln+ fiscal stimulus package in the US helped stir animal spirits and lift US stocks to record highs yesterday. ...
In the near term, we continue to expect a seasonal upsurge in COVID-19 cases to impact consumer behavior. Where hospitals are nearing capacity, an unwelcome return to local and regional lockdowns may still be necessary. Increased lockdowns will likely perpetuate the goods versus servi...
Government bond yields began to rise in November across most major sovereign markets. A notable exception was Greece's 10-year bond mid-yield, which dropped nearly 30 basis points to close the month at a record low of 0.63%. Yields on Italian and Portuguese 10-year government debt...
With the world in the early post-recession recovery phase of the business cycle, our medium-term outlook for economies and corporate earnings is positive. We believe that 2021 will feature an extended period of low-inflation, low-interest rate growth that favors equities over bonds. T...
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EquBot announced today that the Board of Trustees of ETF Series Solutions (the "Trust") has determined to close and liquidate the EquBot AI Powered International Equity ETF (NYSE: AIIQ) (the "Fund") effective immediately after the close of business on July 29, 2022. EquBot will continue...
EquBot Inc., a leader in combining deep financial analysis with the cognitive power of artificial intelligence (AI), will ring the Opening Bell at the NYSE this morning to celebrate the successful launch of its AI Powered International Equity ETF (NYSE Arca: AIIQ) . “It’s ...