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Summary Global business conditions worsened in the penultimate month of the year according to the JPMorgan Global Composite PMI, compiled by S&P Global. New order expansions were seen in merely three of the 21 sectors tracked by the global PMI - software & services, pharmaceutic...
Summary At least one of two things should happen to warn that an official US recession is about to begin. One is a decline in the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index (NOI) to below 48 and the other is a reversal of the yield curve’s trend from flattening/inverting to steepening. ...
Summary Empire State Manufacturing Index rates a level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. The reading is compiled from a survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state. Following the Great Recession, the index has slipped into ...
Summary Surging stocks show markets believe hopes of a soft landing by the Fed to be true. We disagree and stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. U.S. stocks jumped and bond yields plunged after October CPI rose less than the market expected. But sticky core inflation keep...
Summary Today is Election Day. Since WWII, there has been a mid-term election cycle for the S&P 500 that commences in October and gains strength in November and December, so we should be just at the start of an impressive year-end rally. Above and beyond the special events awa...
Summary Despite all the worries over the possibility of a recession in the quarters ahead, the stock market seems to have priced in a “soft landing” for the economy. The cyclicals-to-defensives ratio has yet to really react even to the slowdown in the economy we have...
Summary S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI is a diffusion index: A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below 50 indicates contraction. October PMI data signaled a subdued start to the final quarter of 2022, as US manufacturers recorded a renewed and solid drop in ...
Summary Several key component indexes suggest weakening in October, including the prices-paid index and the supplier deliveries index, which are down from extreme levels. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Employment Situation report for October is due out on Friday, November ...
Summary The latest Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index, or the Chicago Business Barometer, dropped to 45.2 in September from 45.7 in September. Values above 50.0 indicate expanding manufacturing activity. Comparing the Chicago PMI with more popular national ISM Manufacturing In...
Summary Do corporate earnings disappointments signal a weaker economy and easing inflation pressures, which could end this scary market—or are there more twists to come? When we look in detail at last week’s disappointing third-quarter reports from five of the bigges...
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2024-06-19 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-19 01:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-09 01:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...