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Summary Today’s US data has been disappointing with housing, manufacturing, and construction data all hinting at challenging conditions. Unfortunately, given the lack of buyer interest in the residential property market, we expect construction activity to remain a drag on overall...
Summary A mild recession is coming in the US. Unemployment and migration trends are shifting. How will these factors play out across different states and regions? In 2022, 28 states registered a record low unemployment rate, as demographic trends and pandemic-related disruptions continu...
Summary Over the past couple of months, we have seen a clear downtrend emerge in the coincident measure of economic growth, suggesting we are on the path to recession. Inflation is also clearly rolling over. However, this is not the case within the labour market nor the services sector,...
Summary The US economy has started 2023 on a disappointingly soft note, with business activity contracting sharply again in January according to the latest business survey data from S&P Global. Jobs growth has also cooled, with January seeing a far weaker increase in payroll numbers...
Summary 2023 may be an inflection point for the equity markets. When we look at the valuations around the globe at the region or country level, everything looks really cheap. We believe the markets will stay volatile in 2023. By Melda Mergen, CFA, CAIA, Global Head of Eq...
Summary Easing supply chain pressures are evident in supplier delivery times, which have been rising at a slower pace recently. Labor shortages did not ease much even as demand weakened. Weak demand conditions are likely to continue limiting companies' ability to sustain high wage g...
Summary Manufacturing accounts for 8% of US employment, 20% of capital investment, and 35% of annual US productivity growth. Projects supporting growth for semiconductor fabrication, electric vehicle and battery plants, data centers, and warehouse/distribution centers now account for ap...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary AIRR is a solid ETF to target the U.S. industrial revival investment theme via small- and mid-cap stocks. AIRR has a portfolio of 49 equities, with about 9.2% of the net assets allocated to 18 stocks from the GICS financial sector and the rest deployed to industrials. Simple...
Summary Massive government transfer payments during the Covid era ended up being monetized and stored in bank saving and deposit accounts. When people emerged from their Covid cocoons in early 2021, they unleashed a tsunami of spending. Inflation, as a result, surged. The moneta...
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2024-06-19 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-19 01:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-09 01:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...