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Many economists now expect China to fall into recession for the first time in nearly 30 years as Evergrande Group continues to miss interest payments on its bonds. Another sign of looming recession in China is that their National Bureau of Statistics reported Thursday that its purchas...
Taking a look at how the expected Q3 ’21 sector revenue growth rates have changed since mid-August ’21 or the unofficial end of Q2 ’21 earnings season. Per Bespoke’s research, the S&P 500 has now reached “extremely oversold” levels, worse ...
The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 61.1 in September, up 1.2 points from 59.9 percent in August. The New Orders Index has been above 50 for 16 consecutive months, above 60 for 14 consecutive months, and above 65 for nin...
The rebound from last year’s recession is decidedly, maybe even uniquely uneven. Deeper issues beyond delta COVID may account for the perhaps emerging softness. Conference Board announced yesterday another sharp drop in its consumer confidence index. For further detai...
Beginning with what is perhaps the best indicator of growth potential in the real economy, as opposed to just the financial economy, the G3 credit impulse is now firmly in negative territory after peaking in the latter stages of 2020. Turning to manufacturing, building permits for new...
Industrial production finally rises above levels in 2020M02 (the latest NBER peak). Industrial production hit the Bloomberg consensus, while manufacturing production, at 0.2% m/m, missed the consensus 0.4%. Interestingly, industrial production has not yet exceeded the prior peak a...
This morning, we got the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey, which rates the relative level of general business conditions in New York state. A level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. The diffusion index for General Business Conditio...
Industry structure is important because it influences how value is created and distributed, and how it can be destroyed, and a hallmark of industrial companies is high barriers to entry and consolidated markets. An increasing focus on environmental and social considerations has also s...
AIER’s Leading Indicators Index fell for a fifth consecutive month in August, falling to 58 from 75 in July. The index was at 92 in March. While August marks the twelfth consecutive month above the neutral 50 level, it is also the lowest reading of the past year and the lowest ...
The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...
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2024-06-19 16:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-19 01:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-09 01:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...