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For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...
With headlines focused on inflation and the Federal Reserve, rotations between growth and value stocks have become increasingly violent. While skilled market timers may try to get ahead of these moves, a different strategy is to embrace the middle: growth at a reasonable price, known ...
In investing, the big five could more aptly refer to the connected categories of growth, inflation, interest rates, valuations, and style. 2022 is shaping up to be one of slowing toward more normal, healthy rates of economic growth and inflation, thereby paving the way to a sustainabl...
We think current cost-push inflation is poised to give way to a healthy, regenerative demand-pull environment, replete with moderate economic growth that is beneficial for the value companies in which we invest. History has shown moderate inflation can be good for value stocks. We con...
Last Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that its preliminary estimate for third-quarter growth was an anemic 2%. This was partly due to the fact that consumer spending grew at only a 1.6% annual pace, down from a torrid 12% annual pace in the second quarter. The Commerce Depa...
The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...
The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...
After several strong quarters for value stocks, the last few months have seen a sharp reversal in favor of growth. The probability of any particular value stock being a “value trap” in a given year is about 30%. Value stocks are currently trading at a 40% discount to...
What we’ve seen this year is an exceptionally high rate of earnings growth across markets, but that’s not going to persist. It’ll start to moderate as we move into the second half of this year and slow further as we get into next year. And companies are going to b...
The historic valuation gap between global Value and Growth stocks finally began its reversal. Despite pockets of outrageously overvalued Growth stocks being de-rated in Q1 and Q2, we still believe we are in a Growth bubble. Speculative behavior is rampant. We firmly believe that v...
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2024-07-07 16:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-16 15:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-16 03:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...