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By Alberto J. Boquin, CFA The Federal Reserve (Fed) has an inflation problem. The central bank is not generating enough of it. As a result, market and consumer inflation expectations are plumbing new lows. The 5-year forward inflation breakeven derived from Treasury and the Treasury Inflat...
The disruption this week is connected with the US-China trade talks that is scaring financial markets throughout the world. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dropped to 2.45 percent as money poured into the bond market, down from the 2.50 percent close yesterday. This rush to ris...
A few months ago, I wrote part III to this series outlining why interest rates would continue to remain low and most likely continue to fall on the long-end of the curve, confounding consensus opinion as to why interest rates should rise. The consensus opinion on long-term interest rates, ...
More US bank respondents reported to the Federal Reserve that they are seeing weaker demand for Commercial & Industrial Loans than at any time since the end of the Great "Recession." The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) asks respondents to gauge certain ...
The S&P 500 (Index: SPX ) bounced up to reach a new high closing value of 2,945.83 on Tuesday, April 30, 2019, before dipping back on the next two trading days and finally closing a fraction of a point below that level on Friday, May 3, 2019. The level of the S&P 500 is consiste...
The dollar holds a special place in the world currency market. Following Friday's strong job report, it is surprising we are not hearing anyone talking about raising interest rates or how this may be inflationary. Instead, the focus has been steered in the direction of how we have obtained a "...
By Collin Martin When the yield curve is flat, as it has been recently, investors often ask us: Why invest in long-term bonds when one can get similar yields with safer, short-term investments like U.S. Treasury bills or money market funds? It's a logical question - after all, the 10-yea...
By Collin Martin As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) - the Federal Reserve's policymaking arm - on Wednesday maintained the 2.25-2.5% target range for the Federal Funds rate. 1 The decision was unanimous. While the main policy rate was left unchanged, the committee lower...
Editor's note: This article was originally published on April 30 by Menzie Chinn here . One argument against the secular stagnation thesis is that the risk-adjusted real rate is not particularly low. I’m dubious. In Figure 1, I depict the real ten-year Treasury yield, adju...
By SchiffGold Peter Schiff recently appeared on RT to talk about rising oil prices, how they relate to inflation and what it could mean for the US economy. President Trump has been pushing to limit Iranian oil exports as much as possible. Peter said the president needs to get his priorit...
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2024-05-27 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-07 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-19 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...