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There are growing signs that the global economic slowdown is for real. As was the case in 1929, the combination of the peak of the credit cycle coupled with trade protectionism in the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act are similar conditions to those of today and potentially pose a serious economic chall...
I said my peace on what I consider to be the big market stories last week, so I won’t belabour bonds and equities too much this week. FX markets, however, could well be the driver of the NarrativeTM in the next few months, at least judging by the rustling of the grapevine. This story ...
Like a shark smelling blood in the water, I don't care that the blood is in the water from leaking out of what will be a dead horse, if it isn't deceased already. I pretty much intend to beat on it one way or another. The issue isn't just fed funds, it's why anyone cares about that market at a...
U.S. core consumer price inflation ((CPI)) was firmer than expected in June, with a 0.3% rise that boosted the year-over-year rate to 2.1%. The timing of the strong print is somewhat awkward for Federal Reserve officials who have signaled a willingness to cut interest rates in July, and for Ch...
By Jill Mislinski The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the June Consumer Price Index data on Thursday morning. The year-over-year non-seasonally adjusted Headline CPI came in at 1.65%, down from 1.79% the previous month. Year-over-year Core CPI (ex Food and Energy) came in at 2.13%, up ...
By Barkley Rosser Buried in the Weekend section of the Financial Times is a report that the aggregate value of assets that earn negative nominal yields has substantially expanded since the beginning of 2019 and has reached a new high. So, on January 1, 2019, the value of these assets was...
There are few things about financial markets about which one can be certain. However, there could be an exception today when there is such a discrepancy between the gloomy government bond market and the optimistic equity market's view as to where the US and world economies might be headed. In ...
Welcome to this week's Market Wrap Podcast, I'm Mike Gleason. Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for a tremendous interview on what he sees as pending doom in the stock market and why he believes we're in for a bout of stagflation that will make the 1970s look lik...
The steady rise in interest rates of instruments such as U.S. Treasuries, that are typically used as collateral for insurance-linked securities ((ILS)) and collateralized reinsurance investments, have now served to boost returns for ILS investors in 2019. U.S. Treasuries have seen their inte...
Rates have continued to dip. Forward markets have already moved much of the way back toward zero. This has been somewhat surprising to me. I expected the Fed to maintain the fed funds rate at a plateau level, as they did in the last two cyclical reversals. But they are almost certain to start ...
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2024-05-27 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-07 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-19 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...