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It should have always been clear to everyone that this restart from a global economic lockdown was never going to a V-shaped recovery! That belief was delusional. The current problems are not going to vanish when the government ends extended unemployment benefits. They are part of the...
One of the biggest criticisms among Bitcoin’s detractors has been the fact that the majority of bitcoin miners are located within communist China. US stocks, bonds, and real estate have reached precipitous record valuations in response to low interest rates and a massively expa...
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to push higher in June, based on the annualized Sharpe ratio for a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. GMI’s 10-year SR increased to 0.84, the highest in 18 months. GMI is an unmanaged, market-value...
As we mark the halfway point of the year, the economy is in full recovery mode and asset prices are soaring. As we enter the second half of the year though, it is hard to ignore some contradictions. Economic growth in H1 is going to print a big number, and yet, the 10-year Treasury no...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...
MSCI US REIT Index rallied 2.7% in June, which marks an impressive run of eight consecutive monthly increases. The Russell 3000 Index jumped 2.5% in June, the fifth straight monthly advance. Comparing GMI to US stocks and bonds shows that global asset allocation remains competitiv...
The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
Inflation will help commodity and real estate-related industries, hurt industries that carry high inventories and throw most other sectors into uncertainty. Commodity prices rise disproportionately with overall inflation. Higher average inflation usually means a less stable real e...
The real drama was not on the day of the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference, but when St. Louis Fed President James Bullard was on CNBC’s Squawk Box last Friday. That’s what caused the most severe repercussions in stocks, bonds, and commodities. Retail i...
At the FOMC meeting, the median outlook for core inflation this year drifted up to three percent from 2.1 percent (though the long-term inflation outlook didn’t change). Of more direct market consequence, the median “dot plot” around the Fed funds rate in 2023 had...
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2024-07-20 01:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 00:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-29 09:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...