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PIMCO’s baseline outlook for the cyclical horizon has the global economy continuing its uneven recovery before shifting to a more moderate pace of above-trend growth in 2022. With the pandemic receding across much of the world, policy support has also likely peaked and will tur...
Last week, the market broke down as our “sell signals” triggered. Shorting the volatility index (VIX) remains an extraordinarily bullish and profitable trade due to the inherent leverage in options. In the long term, the results of avoiding periods of severe capital ...
One risk on investors’ minds hasn’t been much of a factor in nearly a decade: inflation. By the end of 2020, despite real assets regaining some ground, the return deficit was –6.8%. Actually, when evaluated on multiple dimensions—inflation sensitivity, ...
The global economy has reached an important milestone in the second quarter of 2021, surpassing the pre-pandemic real GDP peak attained in the fourth quarter of 2019. After a 3.5% contraction in 2020, global real GDP is projected to increase 6.0% in 2021, its strongest advance since 1...
The real drama was not on the day of the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference, but when St. Louis Fed President James Bullard was on CNBC’s Squawk Box last Friday. That’s what caused the most severe repercussions in stocks, bonds, and commodities. Retail i...
A stone thrown in a pond makes smaller and smaller waves. Any system subjected to a shock responds irregularly until it reaches equilibrium. Any economy subjected to a shock responds with oscillating random waves until it reaches its long-term growth rate. For further detail...
Based on 63-day rolling correlation window analysis conducted by Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, equity-bond correlation levels have spiked to levels rarely seen in the last two decades. During the last 6 to 7 months, and particularly in 2021 to date, commodity prices have...
Policymakers at the Federal Reserve advised Wednesday that interest rates would rise from record lows sometime in 2023, updating an earlier forecast of rises not until 2024. In the absence of any other driving dynamic, markets are taking direction from the dollar. The positive tak...
At the FOMC meeting, the median outlook for core inflation this year drifted up to three percent from 2.1 percent (though the long-term inflation outlook didn’t change). Of more direct market consequence, the median “dot plot” around the Fed funds rate in 2023 had...
While some investors welcomed the dramatic increase in commodities prices so far this year, others saw them as a warning sign of real inflation coming to the United States and other markets. A recent survey of fund managers found that nearly three-quarters of them believe that inflati...
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Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - July 19, 2024) - Bear Creek Mining Corporation (TSXV: BCM) (OTCQX: BCEKF) (BVL: BCM) ("Bear Creek" or the "Company") announces it produced 9,304 ounces of gold and 40,893 ounces of silver from the Mercedes Mine ("Mercedes") during the three months en...
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - July 8, 2024) - Bear Creek Mining Corporation (TSXV: BCM) (OTCQX: BCEKF) (BVL: BCM) ("Bear Creek" or the "Company") announces the hiring of Mr. Donald Mc Iver in the position of Vice President, Exploration and Geology. Mr. Mc Iver is a geologist with...
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - June 26, 2024) - Bear Creek Mining Corporation (TSXV: BCM) (OTCQX: BCEKF) (BVL: BCM) ("Bear Creek" or the "Company") announces that its Board of Directors (the "Board") has authorized and approved the grant to certain directors, officers and employee...