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The recent rise in Treasury yields has spooked the equity markets. This is obvious from the recent performance of the bond markets as compared to the stock markets. Inflation is not the cause of this rise, but rather a combination of the stimulus measures, a rebounding economy, our CO...
Global recovery optimism, especially in the US, is leading to speculation over when the Fed might take its foot off the accelerator and buy fewer Treasuries and Agencies. Increasingly, parallels are being drawn to similar events in 2013. In this Q&A, we look at when such a sha...
Economic growth is returning to almost every country in the world, and almost all commodity prices are rising. The thing to worry about is the direction of fiscal policy, which will almost certainly bring us higher taxes, increased regulatory burdens, and more expensive energy. Fo...
It is my opinion, when considering both the inflation component and the credit risk component, that most bonds are not providing any real value currently. One strategy that should be considered is not buying any more bonds at present. The second is to take a careful look at your portf...
Risk assets have compressed in yield against Treasuries, so that any meaningful yield of anything has gotten wrung out of the markets. For the first time ever, yields in the High Yield markets are now less than 4.00%. In other words, you are getting paid about nothing for credit risk....
Returns in the US treasury market have gotten off to a bad start. Long-term US treasuries are already down over 5% YTD, which would be only the second time in the last ten years that the asset class started off the year so poorly. While treasuries have been weak, not all areas of ...
Our study showed that a COVID-19 vaccine would be the single most important factor in giving people confidence to resume normal spending habits. School reopenings should provide a further impulse to the recovery. Fiscal and monetary policy have already provided enormous stimulus, ...
The world's negative-yielding debt instruments, great for governments and some corporations, are a "Fixed-Income Investor's Hell" for a whole slew of investors. Bond yields are causing many of the institutional clients and individual clients difficulties. However, you can find funds w...
U.S. Fed keeps rates near zero. Colbourne: Fed unlikely to address the recent retail stock frenzy. Colbourne: Fed likely to to be very accommodating over a long period of time. For further details see: Fed Holds On Rates, But Warns Economic Growth Is Slowing
This year is shaping up to be a really important year for market rates in terms of their influence on the financial system. With Covid vaccines being rolled out, we could easily see a 5% growth rate in the States. As ING's Padhraic Garvey tells us from New York, there could well b...
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2024-07-20 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 07:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...