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Inflation has skyrocketed and aggressive monetary policy is the key factor in understanding it. The Federal Reserve has at least acted, and will reduce its monthly sovereign bond purchases to $20 billion and $10 billion a month of mortgage-backed securities. Despite runaway inflat...
Global economic growth will be slower but still above trend in 2022. This forecast should allow equities to outperform bonds. Inflation has yet to peak, but it will likely decline over the year and as a result any central bank tightening will be modest. 2021 was a year of rebound ...
The EMBI High Yield Index yields 330 bps above the U.S. High Yield Index, which is around two standard deviations relative to the last five years’ average. Apart from China and the frontier markets, there are opportunities in more “traditional” EM countries. I...
In the sovereign space, we have a strong preference for BB- or B-rated sovereigns because of the valuation that’s currently offered. On the corporate side, we have a preference in between investment-grade and high-yield rated debt. On the residential side, fundamentals are ...
Taking an active approach in fixed income will be key to finding investment success in the upcoming year. In 2022, we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. We believe 2022 will be a strong year for “rising sta...
Our equities markets seem to be gradually ebbing. While Treasuries have rallied, this has not been the case for our other credit markets. On the inflation front, we are now at a three-decade high, according to the Associated Press. With valuations at current levels, and with v...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
In high yield, investors tend to think about it as a risky way to play fixed income. A traditional 60/40 portfolio generates somewhere about 8.7% annualized returns over the last few decades. We think investors should really look at high-yield investing as a way to de-risk their e...
Invesco Provides Estimated Capital Gain Distribution Information for 2021 PR Newswire ATLANTA , Nov. 29, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Ltd. (NYSE: IVZ), a leading global provider of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that it expects to deliver capi...
November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
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2024-07-20 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 07:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...